TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Krueger (moneyline) in A. Krueger vs M. Kostyuk (Wimbledon on 2026-07-06).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Krueger | M. Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
72.2% | 27.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.6% | 66.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
72.2% | 27.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.4% | 65.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Krueger | grass | 1836 | 33–14 | 47 |
| M. Kostyuk | grass | 1739 | 16–15 | 31 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 6, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Kostyuk | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 7, 2025 | Adelaide | hard | A. Krueger | 2 - 1 |
| L | K. Siniakova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Gibson | 0 - 2 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Tjen | 2 - 0 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 1 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →