TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Noskova (moneyline) in M. Keys vs L. Noskova (Wimbledon on 2026-07-06).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Keys | L. Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.0% | 42.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.2% | 54.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
52.2% | 47.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.7% | 46.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.8% | 41.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Keys | grass | 1905 | 33–11 | 44 |
| L. Noskova | grass | 1984 | 24–10 | 34 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 6, 2026.
L. Noskova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Noskova | 2 - 0 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 1 - 2 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Bondar | 2 - 1 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 2 - 1 | Aug. 21, 2026 |
| W | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 0 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | C. Gauff | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 4, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →