G. Dimitrov vs A. Fery — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · ATP Wimbledon - 1/8-finals · July 6, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Fery (moneyline) in G. Dimitrov vs A. Fery (Wimbledon on 2026-07-06).

Surface grass Odds G. Dimitrov 1.44 · A. Fery 2.75

Bot bet

A. Fery (moneyline) · 1.5u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: G. Dimitrov · A. Fery · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method G. Dimitrov A. Fery
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
63.9% 36.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
55.0% 45.0%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
54.2% 45.8%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
59.9% 40.1%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
65.6% 34.4%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
G. Dimitrov grass1807 23–1134
A. Fery grass1777 31–2556

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 6, 2026.

Head to head

A. Fery leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 6, 2026WimbledongrassA. Fery3 - 2

Recent form

G. Dimitrov

L D. Vallejo 2 - 1 Oct. 31, 2026
L F. Cobolli 2 - 1 Oct. 27, 2026
L E. Butvilas 0 - 2 Sept. 22, 2026
L H. Rune 2 - 1 Sept. 19, 2026
W E. Moller 1 - 2 Sept. 18, 2026

A. Fery

L Q. Halys 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L A. Zverev 2 - 0 Oct. 30, 2026
W L. Musetti 2 - 1 Oct. 29, 2026
W J. Fearnley 0 - 0 Oct. 26, 2026
L B. Gojo 0 - 2 Oct. 20, 2026

All July 6, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →