TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Eala (moneyline) in J. Paolini vs A. Eala (Wimbledon on 2026-07-06).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Paolini | A. Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.4% | 60.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
68.6% | 31.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.4% | 60.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.2% | 58.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Paolini | grass | 1829 | 17–12 | 29 |
| A. Eala | grass | 1864 | 28–13 | 41 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 8, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Paolini | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 17, 2026 | WTA Dubai | hard | A. Eala | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Osaka | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinina | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Kartal | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | C. Liu | 2 - 0 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | M. Sakkari | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Ruzic | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | E. Jones | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →