TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Marcinko vs V. Zvonareva (Rabat on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with P. Marcinko favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Marcinko | V. Zvonareva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
77.3% | 22.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
84.0% | 16.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
80.7% | 19.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Marcinko | clay | 1727 | 89–46 | 135 |
| V. Zvonareva | hard | 1686 | 44–39 | 83 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 17, 2026.
P. Marcinko leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Rabat | clay | P. Marcinko | 2 - 0 |
| Dec. 7, 2025 | W100 Dubai | hard | P. Marcinko | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Zidansek | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Avanesyan | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | N. Podoroska | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | C. Burel | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | S. Kenin | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | V. Hruncakova | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | P. Iatcenko | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | S. Bandecchi | 2 - 1 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | P. Marcinko | 2 - 0 | May 18, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used