TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in O. Oliynykova vs L. Noskova (Rome on 2026-05-09) — the market is efficient, with L. Noskova favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | O. Oliynykova | L. Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.3% | 36.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
81.6% | 18.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.9% | 49.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.3% | 34.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
22.0% | 78.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Oliynykova | clay | 1771 | 174–75 | 249 |
| L. Noskova | hard | 1892 | 107–53 | 160 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
L. Noskova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Rome | clay | L. Noskova | 2 - 0 |
| L | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Avanesyan | Walk Over | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | N. M. Schunk | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | K. Muchova | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | S. Cirstea | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
All May 9, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used