TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Cobolli vs T. Atmane (Rome on 2026-05-09) — the market is efficient, with F. Cobolli favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Cobolli | T. Atmane |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
73.1% | 26.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
83.9% | 16.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.0% | 32.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
75.0% | 25.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.9% | 28.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cobolli | clay | 1896 | 132–82 | 214 |
| T. Atmane | hard | 1744 | 187–113 | 300 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 15, 2026.
F. Cobolli leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Rome | clay | F. Cobolli | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 18, 2026 | Delray Beach | hard | F. Cobolli | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 10, 2025 | Cincinnati | hard | T. Atmane | 2 - 1 |
| L | R. A. Burruchaga | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 0 - 3 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | A. De Minaur | 0 - 3 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | K. Khachanov | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 1 - 3 | July 2, 2026 |
All May 9, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used