TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Linette (moneyline) in M. Linette vs M. Andreeva (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Linette | M. Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.0% | 44.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
30.0% | 70.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.2% | 37.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
22.0% | 78.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Linette | hard | 1745 | 119–97 | 216 |
| M. Andreeva | hard | 1957 | 93–37 | 130 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
M. Andreeva leads 4–1 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 9, 2026 | WTA Doha | hard | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 2, 2024 | WTA Beijing | hard | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 |
| July 28, 2024 | Olympic Games | clay | M. Linette | 2 - 0 |
| April 29, 2023 | WTA Madrid | clay | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 |
| W | C. Zhao | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Linette | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
The consensus model identifies an 18.9% edge on Linette, driven primarily by a significant ELO discrepancy favoring the Pole on grass (+42 diff). While the ML model tempers this due to Andreeva's higher ceiling, the market's 1.22 price implies an 82% win probability for a player who lost her only grass warm-up match and is transitioning from a major clay title. Linette's semi-final run at Hertogenbosch confirms her current grass competence. Sizing is significantly reduced due to the edge being ELO-concentrated and the ML model's disagreement.