TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Cilic vs M. Landaluce (Rome on 2026-05-09) — the market is efficient, with M. Cilic favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Cilic | M. Landaluce |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.4% | 42.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.8% | 36.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.5% | 34.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.3% | 37.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cilic | hard | 1813 | 64–52 | 116 |
| M. Landaluce | hard | 1731 | 73–47 | 120 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Rome | clay | M. Landaluce | 2 - 0 |
| June 20, 2025 | Nottingham | grass | M. Cilic | 2 - 1 |
| W | S. Shimabukuro | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 2 - 1 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | N. Borges | 1 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| L | N. Mejia | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | S. Kwon | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Atmane | 2 - 1 | June 15, 2026 |
All May 9, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used