TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bouzkova (moneyline) in M. Bouzkova vs E. Mertens (Wimbledon on 2026-07-06).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bouzkova | E. Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.6% | 45.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
65.1% | 34.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.6% | 31.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.4% | 41.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.4% | 52.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bouzkova | grass | 1810 | 22–16 | 38 |
| E. Mertens | grass | 1816 | 27–21 | 48 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 6, 2026.
E. Mertens leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 15, 2026 | WTA Dubai | hard | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 17, 2023 | WTA Cincinnati | hard | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Zakharova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | M. Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Uchijima | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 1 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 2 - 0 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →