TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bellucci vs M. Landaluce (Rome on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with M. Bellucci favoured at 1.90.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bellucci | M. Landaluce |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.3% | 48.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.8% | 48.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
61.6% | 38.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.9% | 45.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bellucci | hard | 1722 | 152–98 | 250 |
| M. Landaluce | hard | 1731 | 73–47 | 120 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 20, 2026.
M. Landaluce leads 4–0 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Rome | clay | M. Landaluce | 2 - 0 |
| June 3, 2025 | Birmingham | grass | M. Landaluce | 2 - 1 |
| Dec. 30, 2024 | Canberra | hard | M. Landaluce | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 20, 2024 | Olbia Challenger Men | hard | M. Landaluce | 2 - 0 |
| W | C. Ugo Carabelli | 1 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | R. Collignon | 2 - 1 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Bublik | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Bolt | 2 - 1 | June 14, 2026 |
| L | N. Mejia | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | S. Kwon | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Atmane | 2 - 1 | June 15, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used