TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Gauff vs I. Jovic (Rome on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with C. Gauff favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Gauff | I. Jovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
72.9% | 27.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
88.0% | 12.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.9% | 59.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.3% | 32.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
74.6% | 25.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 28, 2026.
C. Gauff leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Rome | clay | C. Gauff | 2 - 1 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | B. Bencic | 1 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | C. Liu | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Sierra | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | J. Cristian | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Raducanu | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used