TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Sonego (moneyline) in L. Sonego vs T. M. Etcheverry (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Sonego | T. M. Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
35.5% | 64.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.0% | 55.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Sonego | grass | 1672 | 25–23 | 48 |
| T. M. Etcheverry | grass | 1542 | 8–15 | 23 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 4, 2026.
L. Sonego leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Sonego | 3 - 1 |
| L | A. Tabilo | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | Q. Halys | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | I. Montes-De La Torre | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | O. Wallin | 0 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | Walk Over | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | M. Dahlin | 2 - 1 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Rublev | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →