TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Djere vs J. M. Cerundolo (Geneva on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with L. Djere favoured at 1.90.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Djere | J. M. Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.9% | 42.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.8% | 36.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.8% | 45.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Djere | clay | 1814 | 112–61 | 173 |
| J. M. Cerundolo | clay | 1838 | 205–111 | 316 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
| L | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | H. Dellien | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | N. Waldner | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | M. Schoenhaus | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | R. Collignon | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | C. Ruud | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Kecmanovic | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | Z. Kolar | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used