TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Majchrzak vs J. Lehecka (London on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with J. Lehecka favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Majchrzak | J. Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.7% | 33.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.6% | 48.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
52.7% | 47.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.2% | 47.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.4% | 65.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Majchrzak | hard | 1740 | 93–57 | 150 |
| J. Lehecka | hard | 1890 | 126–83 | 209 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | London | grass | J. Lehecka | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 8, 2021 | Tulln | clay | K. Majchrzak | 2 - 0 |
| L | G. Monfils | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 3 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | C. Wong | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 1 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | J. Munar | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Molcan | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Popyrin | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used