TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Fery vs T. Samuel (London on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with A. Fery favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Fery | T. Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.9% | 38.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.5% | 56.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.7% | 40.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.0% | 43.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 19, 2026.
A. Fery leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | London | grass | A. Fery | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 20, 2023 | ITF M25 Aldershot Men | hard | A. Fery | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Zverev | 0 - 3 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Cobolli | 0 - 3 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 3 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Virtanen | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | J. D. Hara Friend | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Draxl | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | C. Broom | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | Y. H. Hsu | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used