TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in I. Buse vs M. Giron (London on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with M. Giron favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | I. Buse | M. Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
20.7% | 79.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
25.1% | 74.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.7% | 74.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.8% | 68.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 23, 2026.
I. Buse leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | London | grass | I. Buse | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | K. Feldbausch | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Kopriva | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Brooksby | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used