TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Brooksby vs M. Damm (London on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with M. Damm favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Brooksby | M. Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.6% | 59.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.1% | 61.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.9% | 59.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.2% | 58.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brooksby | hard | 1729 | 86–55 | 141 |
| M. Damm | hard | 1738 | 135–76 | 211 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
J. Brooksby leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | London | grass | J. Brooksby | 2 - 1 |
| L | C. Wong | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | E. Winter | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Moutet | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | I. Buse | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | H. Rocha | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Coppejans | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Rinderknech | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used