TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Khachanov vs D. Prizmic (Rome on 2026-05-12) — the market is efficient, with D. Prizmic favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Khachanov | D. Prizmic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
32.6% | 67.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.7% | 73.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
17.0% | 83.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.4% | 74.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.5% | 62.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Khachanov | hard | 1781 | 120–84 | 204 |
| D. Prizmic | clay | 1859 | 101–43 | 144 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
K. Khachanov leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Rome | clay | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Harris | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Damm | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Molcan | 1 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Walton | 1 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | June 26, 2026 |
All May 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used