TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Medjedovic vs M. Landaluce (Rome on 2026-05-12) — the market is efficient, with H. Medjedovic favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Medjedovic | M. Landaluce |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
76.5% | 23.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
85.8% | 14.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
86.8% | 13.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
83.0% | 17.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Medjedovic | clay | 1875 | 100–43 | 143 |
| M. Landaluce | hard | 1731 | 73–47 | 120 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 27, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Rome | clay | M. Landaluce | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 7, 2024 | Istanbul Challenger Men | hard | H. Medjedovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Ofner | 2 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 1 - 2 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 3 - 0 | May 27, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 1 | May 24, 2026 |
| L | N. Mejia | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | S. Kwon | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Atmane | 2 - 1 | June 15, 2026 |
All May 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used