TennisEdge's AI bot is backing H. Gaston (moneyline) in H. Gaston vs S. Tsitsipas (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Gaston | S. Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.6% | 52.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.9% | 57.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.8% | 68.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Gaston | grass | 1560 | 11–12 | 23 |
| S. Tsitsipas | grass | 1657 | 21–16 | 37 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 29, 2026.
S. Tsitsipas leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | S. Tsitsipas | 3 - 0 |
| Feb. 17, 2022 | Marseille | hard | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Martineau | 2 - 1 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | M. Kouame | 0 - 1 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Glinka | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | N. Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Kukushkin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →