TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Svitolina vs N. Bartunkova (Rome on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with E. Svitolina favoured at 1.17.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Svitolina | N. Bartunkova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.0% | 41.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
69.2% | 30.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
32.5% | 67.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.6% | 46.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.3% | 18.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Svitolina | hard | 2004 | 91–52 | 143 |
| N. Bartunkova | clay | 1676 | 72–40 | 112 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
E. Svitolina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Rome | clay | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | Walk Over | June 25, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Andreescu | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | Y. Yuan | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | K. Siniakova | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used