TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Quinn vs P. Llamas Ruiz (Rome on 2026-05-07) — the market is efficient, with E. Quinn favoured at 1.85.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Quinn | P. Llamas Ruiz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
22.6% | 77.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.0% | 74.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
25.9% | 74.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
24.9% | 75.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.3% | 48.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Quinn | hard | 1803 | 112–77 | 189 |
| P. Llamas Ruiz | clay | 1792 | 152–76 | 228 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 22, 2026.
P. Llamas Ruiz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Rome | clay | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 1 |
| L | S. Mochizuki | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | June 27, 2026 |
| W | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | V. Kopriva | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Giron | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | K. Rice | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | B. Kuzuhara | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used