TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Tauson vs O. Oliynykova (Rome on 2026-05-07) — the market is efficient, with C. Tauson favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Tauson | O. Oliynykova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
27.1% | 72.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
19.5% | 80.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
23.3% | 76.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.7% | 39.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tauson | hard | 1788 | 141–74 | 215 |
| O. Oliynykova | clay | 1771 | 174–75 | 249 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
O. Oliynykova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Rome | clay | O. Oliynykova | 1 - 0 |
| L | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | N. Hibino | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Avanesyan | Walk Over | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | N. M. Schunk | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
All May 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used