TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Bucsa vs Q. Zheng (Rome on 2026-05-07) — the market is efficient, with Q. Zheng favoured at 1.21.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Bucsa | Q. Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
24.3% | 75.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
18.7% | 81.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
21.5% | 78.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
21.6% | 78.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
Q. Zheng leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Rome | clay | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Uchijima | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Bandecchi | 2 - 1 | May 25, 2026 |
| L | S. Zhang | 2 - 1 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 0 - 2 | May 7, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Micic | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
All May 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used