TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in B. Bencic vs B. Andreescu (Rome on 2026-05-07) — the market is efficient, with B. Bencic favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Bencic | B. Andreescu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.6% | 48.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.0% | 38.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
32.5% | 67.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.7% | 51.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
77.7% | 22.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bencic | hard | 1998 | 116–52 | 168 |
| B. Andreescu | hard | 1721 | 50–34 | 84 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 25, 2026.
B. Bencic leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Rome | clay | B. Bencic | 2 - 0 |
| May 25, 2022 | French Open | clay | B. Bencic | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Gauff | 1 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | Xin. Wang | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Stojsavljevic | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Svitolina | 2 - 1 | May 31, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | S. Zhang | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Teichmann | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | P. Hercog | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
All May 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used