TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Navarro (moneyline) in E. Navarro vs P. Badosa (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Navarro | P. Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.5% | 36.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.1% | 29.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.8% | 36.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.0% | 43.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Navarro | grass | 1807 | 29–14 | 43 |
| P. Badosa | grass | 1697 | 14–11 | 25 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 4, 2026.
Level at 2–2 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | E. Navarro | 2 - 1 |
| June 18, 2025 | Berlin | grass | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 3, 2024 | WTA US Open | hard | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 |
| May 9, 2024 | WTA Rome | clay | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinskaya | 0 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | C. McNally | 2 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | L. Boisson | 2 - 1 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →