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E. Navarro vs L. Radivojevic — Prediction & Analysis

Paris · Paris - 1/16-finals · May 12, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Navarro vs L. Radivojevic (Paris on 2026-05-12) — the market is efficient, with E. Navarro favoured at 1.36.

Surface clay Odds E. Navarro 1.36 · L. Radivojevic 3.00

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: E. Navarro · L. Radivojevic · head-to-head record · Paris

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method E. Navarro L. Radivojevic
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
47.1% 52.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
45.6% 54.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
46.3% 53.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
68.8% 31.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
E. Navarro hard1713 86–63149
L. Radivojevic clay1586 116–73189

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.

Head to head

E. Navarro leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
May 12, 2026ParisclayE. Navarro2 - 0

Recent form

E. Navarro

L E. Cocciaretto 1 - 2 July 29, 2026
W S. Kenin 2 - 0 July 27, 2026
L M. Kostyuk 1 - 2 July 4, 2026
W O. Selekhmeteva 2 - 1 July 2, 2026
W P. Badosa 2 - 1 June 30, 2026

L. Radivojevic

L M. Rouvroy 2 - 1 July 28, 2026
L J. Ruggeri 2 - 1 July 22, 2026
W S. Lansere 1 - 2 July 20, 2026
L D. Chiesa 0 - 2 July 15, 2026
W Y. Ren 2 - 0 July 13, 2026

All May 12, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used