E. Jacquemot vs N. Osaka — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · WTA Wimbledon - 1/64-finals · June 29, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Jacquemot (moneyline) in E. Jacquemot vs N. Osaka (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).

Surface grass Odds E. Jacquemot 11.00 · N. Osaka 1.05

Bot bet

E. Jacquemot (moneyline) · 1.0u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: E. Jacquemot · N. Osaka · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method E. Jacquemot N. Osaka
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
28.0% 72.0%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
14.5% 85.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
40.1% 59.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
27.5% 72.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
8.7% 91.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
E. Jacquemot grass1562 12–1325
N. Osaka grass1842 14–822

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 29, 2026.

Head to head

N. Osaka leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 29, 2026WimbledongrassN. Osaka2 - 0
May 2, 2025Saint MaloclayN. Osaka2 - 0

Recent form

E. Jacquemot

L A. Charaeva 1 - 2 Oct. 31, 2026
W E. Yaneva 2 - 1 Oct. 30, 2026
W S. Bandecchi 1 - 2 Oct. 29, 2026
W C. Werner 2 - 1 Oct. 28, 2026
L H. Klugman 0 - 2 Oct. 25, 2026

N. Osaka

L M. Pohankova 0 - 2 Oct. 29, 2026
W J. Paolini 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026
L K. Muchova 2 - 1 Oct. 6, 2026
W S. Bejlek 0 - 2 Oct. 4, 2026
W M. Timofeeva 1 - 2 Oct. 2, 2026

All June 29, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →