TennisEdge's AI bot is backing P. Udvardy (moneyline) in E. Alexandrova vs P. Udvardy (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Alexandrova | P. Udvardy |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
77.1% | 22.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.4% | 44.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.8% | 55.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.1% | 40.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.0% | 22.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Alexandrova | hard | 1760 | 103–77 | 180 |
| P. Udvardy | clay | 1702 | 179–102 | 281 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | E. Alexandrova | 2 - 0 |
| June 8, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | P. Udvardy | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Liutova | 1 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | I. Jovic | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Tararudee | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | P. Udvardy | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 2 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Lys | 1 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | E. Pridankina | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
The model consensus identifies an 8.8% edge on P. Udvardy, primarily driven by the ML model detecting a much closer matchup than the market implies. Qualitative validation strongly supports this: Udvardy beat Alexandrova 0-2 on grass at Hertogenbosch on June 8th, proving she possesses the tactical blueprint to neutralize the favorite on this surface. Additionally, Alexandrova carries a significantly heavier fatigue load (285 mins vs 135 mins in last 14 days) and the market trend indicates the bookmakers are 'chasing' her name value rather than her recent results. With the favorite over-priced at 1.22 despite a recent loss to this specific opponent, the value lies with the underdog.