D. Sweeny vs G. Dimitrov — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · ATP Wimbledon - 1/64-finals · June 29, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Sweeny (moneyline) in D. Sweeny vs G. Dimitrov (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).

Surface grass Odds D. Sweeny 3.50 · G. Dimitrov 1.30

Bot bet

D. Sweeny (moneyline) · 2.0u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: D. Sweeny · G. Dimitrov · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method D. Sweeny G. Dimitrov
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
50.0% 50.0%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
47.4% 52.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
45.3% 54.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
41.3% 58.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
27.1% 72.9%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
D. Sweeny grass1719 14–1024
G. Dimitrov grass1807 23–1134

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 30, 2026.

Head to head

G. Dimitrov leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 30, 2026WimbledongrassG. Dimitrov3 - 0

Recent form

D. Sweeny

L J. Shang 1 - 2 Nov. 13, 2026
W C. Hoole 2 - 0 Nov. 12, 2026
W A. Shepp 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L S. Mochizuki 2 - 0 Oct. 15, 2026
W B. Tomic 0 - 0 Oct. 13, 2026

G. Dimitrov

L D. Vallejo 2 - 1 Oct. 31, 2026
L F. Cobolli 2 - 1 Oct. 27, 2026
L E. Butvilas 0 - 2 Sept. 22, 2026
L H. Rune 2 - 1 Sept. 19, 2026
W E. Moller 1 - 2 Sept. 18, 2026

All June 29, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →