TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Parry vs I. Begu (Bad Homburg on 2026-06-21) — the market is efficient, with D. Parry favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Parry | I. Begu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
75.7% | 24.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
75.7% | 24.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.0% | 29.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
I. Begu leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 21, 2026 | Bad Homburg | grass | I. Begu | 2 - 0 |
| April 23, 2025 | Madrid | clay | D. Parry | 2 - 0 |
| July 22, 2022 | Palermo | clay | I. Begu | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Day | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | I. Begu | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| L | K. Swan | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | V. Williams | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 0 | June 20, 2026 |
All June 21, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used