TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Monnet vs M. Trevisan (Brescia (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with M. Trevisan favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Monnet | M. Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.2% | 43.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.3% | 52.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
53.9% | 46.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.1% | 58.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Monnet | clay | 1577 | 102–107 | 209 |
| M. Trevisan | clay | 1608 | 75–57 | 132 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
C. Monnet leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Brescia (Italy) - Qualification | clay | C. Monnet | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | E. R. Bertea | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Bulgaru | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | J. Pieri | 0 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | E. R. Bertea | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | N. Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | F. Curmi | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | F. Pace | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | E. R. Bertea | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used