TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Kovinic vs M. Bulgaru (Brescia (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with M. Bulgaru favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Kovinic | M. Bulgaru |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.8% | 40.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.9% | 48.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.2% | 55.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.5% | 62.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kovinic | clay | 1526 | 56–35 | 91 |
| M. Bulgaru | clay | 1468 | 136–111 | 247 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 16, 2026.
M. Bulgaru leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Brescia (Italy) - Qualification | clay | M. Bulgaru | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Riera | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | N. Basiletti | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Pigato | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Bulgaru | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | Xiy. Wang | 0 - 2 | May 24, 2026 |
| L | C. Monnet | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | C. W. Hennemann | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | E. Pridankina | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used