TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Grabher vs C. Paquet (Brescia (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with J. Grabher favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Grabher | C. Paquet |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
75.1% | 24.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.2% | 27.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.2% | 52.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
72.2% | 27.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.0% | 29.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Grabher | clay | 1666 | 159–94 | 253 |
| C. Paquet | clay | 1476 | 113–103 | 216 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
J. Grabher leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Brescia (Italy) - Qualification | clay | J. Grabher | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 10, 2023 | ITF W100 Maspalomas Gran Canaria Women | clay | J. Grabher | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Siskova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. S. Steur J. | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | V. Wolff | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | I. Primorac | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | E. Perelygina | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Lazaro Garcia | 1 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Rus | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | V. Strakhova | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | V. Ivanov | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used