TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Ferro vs K. Rinaldo Persson (Brescia (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with F. Ferro favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Ferro | K. Rinaldo Persson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.1% | 51.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.4% | 53.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.6% | 40.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.5% | 35.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ferro | clay | 1649 | 68–54 | 122 |
| K. Rinaldo Persson | clay | 1574 | 111–69 | 180 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
F. Ferro leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Brescia (Italy) - Qualification | clay | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 |
| L | B. Palicova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | E. Bennemann | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | N. Basiletti | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Sakellaridi | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Bennemann | 1 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | I. Wobker | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Zeltina | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | M. Lombardini | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Astakhova | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used