TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Gauff vs M. Andreeva (Rome on 2026-05-12) — the market is efficient, with M. Andreeva favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Gauff | M. Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.1% | 56.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.9% | 61.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
26.8% | 73.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.3% | 63.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.4% | 52.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gauff | hard | 2045 | 155–60 | 215 |
| M. Andreeva | hard | 1957 | 93–37 | 130 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 28, 2026.
C. Gauff leads 5–0 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Rome | clay | C. Gauff | 2 - 1 |
| May 14, 2025 | Rome | clay | C. Gauff | 2 - 0 |
| April 30, 2025 | Madrid | clay | C. Gauff | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 30, 2023 | WTA US Open | hard | C. Gauff | 2 - 0 |
| June 3, 2023 | WTA French Open | clay | C. Gauff | 2 - 1 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | B. Bencic | 1 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | C. Liu | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Sierra | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Linette | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
All May 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used