TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Burel vs T. Korpatsch (Paris on 2026-05-12) — the market is efficient, with T. Korpatsch favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Burel | T. Korpatsch |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.7% | 64.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.3% | 66.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
34.5% | 65.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.2% | 68.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burel | clay | 1638 | 64–50 | 114 |
| T. Korpatsch | clay | 1772 | 122–71 | 193 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Paris | clay | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 25, 2024 | WTA Beijing | hard | C. Burel | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Ibragimova | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | F. Urgesi | Walk Over | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Abbagnato | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Bondar | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Sherif | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinina | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Stusek | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
All May 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used