B. Bonzi vs G. Diallo — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · ATP Wimbledon - 1/64-finals · June 29, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing B. Bonzi (moneyline) in B. Bonzi vs G. Diallo (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).

Surface grass Odds B. Bonzi 2.20 · G. Diallo 1.66

Bot bet

B. Bonzi (moneyline) · 1.0u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: B. Bonzi · G. Diallo · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method B. Bonzi G. Diallo
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
53.3% 46.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
22.4% 77.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
73.3% 26.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
53.3% 46.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
43.0% 57.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
B. Bonzi grass1687 30–1949
G. Diallo grass1694 20–1636

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 30, 2026.

Head to head

G. Diallo leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 30, 2026WimbledongrassG. Diallo2 - 2
Oct. 3, 2025ShanghaihardG. Diallo2 - 0

Recent form

B. Bonzi

L T. Gentzsch 0 - 2 Nov. 11, 2026
W A. Pellegrino 2 - 0 Nov. 9, 2026
L T. Fritz 1 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
W Y. Hanfmann 2 - 1 Nov. 1, 2026
W T. Griekspoor 1 - 2 Oct. 31, 2026

G. Diallo

L F. Maestrelli 1 - 0 Oct. 28, 2026
W N. Basavareddy 2 - 0 Oct. 26, 2026
L R. Sakamoto 1 - 2 Oct. 18, 2026
W H. Mayot 2 - 0 Oct. 17, 2026
L L. Darderi 1 - 0 Aug. 5, 2026

All June 29, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →