TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Zakharova vs L. Noskova (Rome on 2026-05-07) — the market is efficient, with L. Noskova favoured at 1.08.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Zakharova | L. Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
27.7% | 72.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
18.0% | 82.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
33.6% | 66.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.4% | 73.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
11.9% | 88.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zakharova | hard | 1771 | 168–89 | 257 |
| L. Noskova | hard | 1892 | 107–53 | 160 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
L. Noskova leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Rome | clay | L. Noskova | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 26, 2022 | US Open | hard | L. Noskova | 2 - 0 |
| March 5, 2022 | W25 Nur-Sultan | hard | A. Zakharova | 2 - 0 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | H. Vandewinkel | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Prozorova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | K. Muchova | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | S. Cirstea | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
All May 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used