TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Rinderknech vs H. Medjedovic (London on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with A. Rinderknech favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rinderknech | H. Medjedovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.3% | 35.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.1% | 37.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.1% | 39.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rinderknech | hard | 1775 | 126–102 | 228 |
| H. Medjedovic | clay | 1875 | 100–43 | 143 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 21, 2026.
H. Medjedovic leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | London | grass | H. Medjedovic | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 2, 2025 | Shanghai | hard | A. Rinderknech | 0 - 1 |
| Aug. 17, 2025 | Winston-Salem | hard | H. Medjedovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Baez | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Tabur | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 3 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Damm | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | S. Ofner | 2 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 1 - 2 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 3 - 0 | May 27, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 1 | May 24, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used