TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Parks vs M. Uchijima (Rabat on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with M. Uchijima favoured at 1.67.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Parks | M. Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
21.6% | 78.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
15.0% | 85.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.2% | 43.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.9% | 69.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
42.9% | 57.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Parks | hard | 1714 | 104–98 | 202 |
| M. Uchijima | hard | 1671 | 139–105 | 244 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Parks leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Rabat | clay | A. Parks | 2 - 0 |
| W | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Havlickova | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Hontama | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Grammatikopoulou | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | C. Bucsa | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Inglis | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Khan | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used