TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Fearnley (moneyline) in A. Michelsen vs J. Fearnley (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Michelsen | J. Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.0% | 27.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.0% | 43.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Michelsen | grass | 1686 | 23–17 | 40 |
| J. Fearnley | grass | 1801 | 23–12 | 35 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 11, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 26, 2026 | Bloomfield Hills | hard | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 |
| June 30, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Fearnley | 3 - 2 |
| L | A. Tabilo | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 2 - 0 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Lehecka | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | A. Nagel | 2 - 0 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 0 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Sonego | 1 - 2 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Carreno-Busta | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →