Z. Sonmez vs C. Liu — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · WTA Wimbledon - 1/32-finals · July 1, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing C. Liu (moneyline) in Z. Sonmez vs C. Liu (Wimbledon on 2026-07-01).

Surface grass Odds Z. Sonmez 1.48 · C. Liu 2.55

Bot bet

C. Liu (moneyline) · 1.5u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: Z. Sonmez · C. Liu · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method Z. Sonmez C. Liu
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
64.0% 36.0%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
49.0% 51.0%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
56.4% 43.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
64.0% 36.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
63.3% 36.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
Z. Sonmez grass1713 23–1437
C. Liu grass1657 13–922

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 1, 2026.

Head to head

C. Liu leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Nov. 6, 2026Hong KonghardC. Liu2 - 0
July 1, 2026WimbledongrassC. Liu2 - 0

Recent form

Z. Sonmez

L C. Liu 0 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W M. Stojsavljevic 0 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W D. Yastremska 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
L J. Teichmann 2 - 1 Oct. 29, 2026
W S. Sorribes Tormo 1 - 2 Oct. 27, 2026

C. Liu

W A. Eala 2 - 0 Nov. 8, 2026
W A. Shubladze 0 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026
W Z. Sonmez 0 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W K. Boulter 2 - 0 Nov. 4, 2026
W T. Prozorova 2 - 0 Nov. 2, 2026

All July 1, 2026 results & picks →

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