A. Rinderknech vs M. Damm — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · ATP Wimbledon - 1/32-finals · July 1, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Damm (moneyline) in A. Rinderknech vs M. Damm (Wimbledon on 2026-07-01).

Surface grass Odds A. Rinderknech 1.60 · M. Damm 2.37

Bot bet

M. Damm (moneyline) · 2.0u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Rinderknech · M. Damm · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Rinderknech M. Damm
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
36.1% 63.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
57.3% 42.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
25.9% 74.1%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
45.9% 54.1%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
59.7% 40.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Rinderknech grass1658 24–2448
M. Damm grass1677 8–513

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 3, 2026.

Head to head

Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 1, 2026WimbledongrassA. Rinderknech3 - 0
May 15, 2026BordeauxclayM. Damm2 - 0

Recent form

A. Rinderknech

L M. Kecmanovic 1 - 2 Nov. 10, 2026
L B. Shelton 2 - 1 Nov. 5, 2026
W M. Bellucci 0 - 2 Nov. 4, 2026
W F. Cerundolo 1 - 1 Nov. 3, 2026
L J. Kym 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026

M. Damm

L T. Gentzsch 0 - 2 Nov. 4, 2026
L M. Kouame 2 - 1 Nov. 1, 2026
W D. Prizmic 2 - 1 Oct. 31, 2026
W C. Tabur 2 - 0 Oct. 30, 2026
W U. Blanchet 2 - 0 Oct. 29, 2026

All July 1, 2026 results & picks →

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