TennisEdge's AI bot is backing R. Safiullin (moneyline) in R. Safiullin vs B. Van De Zandschulp (Wimbledon on 2026-07-01).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Safiullin | B. Van De Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
68.4% | 31.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.5% | 29.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
60.2% | 39.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.8% | 37.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
54.6% | 45.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Safiullin | hard | 1715 | 107–81 | 188 |
| B. Van De Zandschulp | hard | 1749 | 108–84 | 192 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 4, 2026.
R. Safiullin leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 1, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | R. Safiullin | 3 - 2 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 3 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Fonseca | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Rublev | 2 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Kym | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | J. Faria | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Vallejo | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | R. Safiullin | 3 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 1 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
All July 1, 2026 results & picks →
MATCH: R. Safiullin (A) vs B. Van De Zandschulp (B) — Wimbledon, grass, 1/32-finals (2026-07-01) MODELS: ELO 0.684 | ML 0.705 | model 0.628 | market implied A 0.546 (A 1.71 / B 2.06). Value pick A, edge +8.1%. All three models favor A and all sit above the market price — genuine model disagreement with the book (ML +15pts). FORM (grass, live): - Safiullin: HOT. W vs Rublev (1744, Strong) 5-set GRIND 2d ago; W 'Final' vs Kym (1651) 5 sets; W vs Coppejans (1666) 7-6 7-5; W vs McCabe (1634) 6-3 7-6; W vs Holmgren (1640) 6-3 6-2 DOM. Beating Rublev on grass is a marquee result. Many GRINDs vs Avg/Strong. - BVDZ: MEDIOCRE. W vs Kovacevic (1401, Weak) only; L to Paul (1810), L to Griekspoor (1689). Beats weak, loses to anyone decent. Live form clearly favors A. FATIGUE: LOPSIDED toward B's favor. Safiullin 816min court / 18 sets / 6 matches in 14d / back-to-back / 5-set war vs Rublev just 2d ago. BVDZ 239min / 6 sets / 2 matches. Court-time diff 577min (>60) — Safiullin heavily disadvantaged on rest. Acute concern: a flat body against a fresh opponent. NARRATIVE: WEAK let-down — won a 'Final' 6d ago. Strong Wimbledon venue record (all W). Live form outweighs the fatigue enough to keep A the rightful favorite, but fatigue caps conviction. VERDICT: BET A — model edge (+8.1%) is validated by dominant live grass form (beat Rublev 1744). But Safiullin's enormous 14-day workload and a 5-set marathon 2d ago is a real flat-performance risk, so size down from the bot's 2.5u to 1.5u. Win prob shaded to 0.60 (below model 0.628) for fatigue.