Z. Bergs vs J. Faria — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · ATP Wimbledon - 1/32-finals · July 2, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Faria (moneyline) in Z. Bergs vs J. Faria (Wimbledon on 2026-07-02).

Surface grass Odds Z. Bergs 1.40 · J. Faria 2.90

Bot bet

J. Faria (moneyline) · 2.0u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: Z. Bergs · J. Faria · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method Z. Bergs J. Faria
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
52.7% 47.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
53.3% 46.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
47.7% 52.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
56.1% 43.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
67.4% 32.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
Z. Bergs grass1746 31–1748
J. Faria grass1699 11–718

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 4, 2026.

Head to head

Z. Bergs leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 2, 2026WimbledongrassZ. Bergs3 - 1

Recent form

Z. Bergs

L H. Rune 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L I. Buse 2 - 0 Nov. 2, 2026
L H. Hurkacz 2 - 1 Oct. 27, 2026
L J-L. Struff 2 - 0 Oct. 23, 2026
W D. Dzumhur 0 - 2 Oct. 22, 2026

J. Faria

L R. Hijikata 0 - 2 Oct. 31, 2026
L M. Brunold 0 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026
L F. Balshaw 1 - 2 Oct. 19, 2026
L A. Gea 2 - 1 Oct. 7, 2026
L J. Munar 2 - 0 Oct. 2, 2026

All July 2, 2026 results & picks →

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