TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Timofeeva (moneyline) in E. Mertens vs M. Timofeeva (Wimbledon on 2026-07-02).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Mertens | M. Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
76.1% | 23.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.6% | 26.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.9% | 50.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
70.6% | 29.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.2% | 18.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Mertens | grass | 1816 | 27–21 | 48 |
| M. Timofeeva | grass | 1545 | 4–6 | 10 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 8, 2026.
E. Mertens leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 3, 2026 | US Open | hard | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 |
| July 2, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | E. Mertens | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Uchijima | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 1 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 2 - 0 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| L | S. Cirstea | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | X. Sun | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Kostovic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 1 - 2 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
| W | D. Vidmanova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 30, 2026 |
All July 2, 2026 results & picks →