TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Podrez vs H. Guo (Paris on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with V. Podrez favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Podrez | H. Guo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.5% | 32.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
76.3% | 23.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
71.9% | 28.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
66.3% | 33.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
V. Podrez leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Paris | clay | V. Podrez | 2 - 0 |
| W | E. Micic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | R. Saigo | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | T. Krejcova | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Voloshchuk | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | K. Day | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 1 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
| L | M. Inglis | 1 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
| L | M. Kessler | 1 - 2 | May 25, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used