TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Zarazua vs T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah (Paris on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with R. Zarazua favoured at 1.45.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Zarazua | T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.4% | 32.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.7% | 25.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.2% | 36.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
68.4% | 31.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
63.3% | 36.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Zarazua | hard | 1720 | 110–84 | 194 |
| T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah | clay | 1528 | 76–49 | 125 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Paris | clay | T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 13, 2025 | Sao Paulo | hard | T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah | 2 - 0 |
| W | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Zakharova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Kessler | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | L. Zhu | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 0 - 2 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Ristic | 2 - 1 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | Y. Lizarazo | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used